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CDPOKER SCHOOL - Probabilities |
Being dealt statistics
| Preflop: |
| Probability of being dealt a pocket pair | 5.9% |
| Probability of being dealt suited cards | 23.5% |
| Probability of being dealt AA | 0.45% |
| Probability of being dealt connecting cards | 15.7% |
| Flop: |
| Probability of hitting a three of a kind or quads at the flop when you hold a pocket pair | 11.8% |
| Probability you will make a pair at the flop, holding two unpaired cards in the hole | 32.4% |
| Probability of flopping a flush, holding two suited cards | 0.84% |
| Probability of flopping a flush draw, holding two suited cards | 11% |
| Turn - river: |
| Probability of hitting a flush draw (both turn/river, needing one card to hit) | 35% |
| Probability of hitting an open-ended straight draw (i.e. 4 straight cards, need one on either end to hit on turn or river) | 31.5% |
| Probability of hitting a gutshot draw (inside straight draw) on turn or river | 16.5% |
| Probability of hitting a backdoor flush, holding two suited cards | 4.2% |
| Probability of hitting a flush on the river | 19.6% |
| Probability of hitting a straight on the turn | 17% |
| Probability of hitting a straight on the river | 17.4% |
Winning probability between two hands:
| Probability of a lower pocket pair beating a higher pocket pair | 18.5% |
| Probability of non-suited overcards beating a lower pocket pair | 45% |
| Probability of suited overcards beating a lower pocket pair | 47.3% |
| Probability of a dominated hand winning (e.g. AJ vs. AK) | 24% |
| Probability of a severely dominated hand winning that is suited (e.g. AA vs. ATs) | 12.7% |
| Probability of an unsuited severely dominated hand winning (e.g. AA vs. ATo) | 7.2% |
| Probability of two unsuited undercards beating two unsuited overcards (e.g. JT vs. AK) | 36.7% |
| Probability of two suited undercards beating two unsuited overcards (e.g. JTs vs. AK) | 41% |
| Probability of two, unsuited, non-connecting undercards beating two suited, connecting overcards (e.g. T4o vs. AKs) | 32.4% |
How often does a certain hole cards wins:
| The percentage that this hand wins | Pocket cards |
| 75% | AA |
| 63.5% | KK |
| 56.1% | QQ |
| 50% | JJ |
| 51.1% | AK suited |
| 48.1% | AK off suit |
| 46.5% | AQ suited |
| 43.5% | 10 10 |
| 41.7% | AJ suited |
| 42.4% | AQ off suit |
Most common winning hands:
| The percentage that this hand wins the pot | Poker hand |
| 31% | Two pairs |
| 27% | Pair |
| 12% | Three of a kind |
| 9% | Strait |
| 9% | Flush |
| 9% | Full house |
| 2% | High card |
| 1% | Four of a kind |
| 1% | Strait flush |
| 1% | Royal flush |
Profit expectation from pocket cards:
| Profit expectation for limit $5 - $10 T.H. | Pocket cards |
| $34.19 | AA |
| $24.13 | KK |
| $17.36 | QQ |
| $12.08 | JJ |
| $11.63 | AK suited |
| $8.65 | AK off suit |
| $8.32 | AQ suited |
| $7.72 | 10 10 |
| $5.69 | AJ suited |
| $5.47 | AQ off suit |
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